Defty Analysis. (Nifty 50 denominated in US Dollars). CMP 7,085. Posted on 2 April 2021. Good Friday.
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Not much change from previous post of 3 Feb 2021 when price was 6775. Since then price advanced to 7,300 and has corrected slightly since.
This 2 month chart is extraordinarily bullish from an intermediate and long term perspective.
Price broke out from a decade old ascending triangle pattern. The ascending triangle is a high probability pattern, and we especially like this pattern for trading purposes.
This Defty ascending triangle has appeared on the 2 month chart, so difficult to use for position trading, but it does provide comfort that even if price does correct, it would Not signifty change in the larger trend.
Please be aware that price can come down to test the 5600 ~ 6000 level (the horizontal line in the ascending triangle), which is still a substantial correction from current levels. This would not change the larger expectation for a rally to the 14,000 ~ 15,000 level.
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The 3 day chart
Defty (Nifty in USD) Index. As on 3 Feb 2021. CMP 6775
This chart won't help for trading purposes, but for a longer term view, it could prove to be valuable.
Defty is at about the same level as it was a month ago. It has broken out of a decade old ascending triangle.
Corrections, if any, should meet support at 6000, and then at 5600 levels.
Price needs to continue above this triangle and definitely above 5430 to keep this breakout valid.
Long term targets remain the 14,500 ~ 15,000 level.
Nifty (in USD) Analysis. As on Tues, 5 Jan 2021. CMP 6706
Since 2008, Nifty in USD, also known as Defty, has remained in a range. In December 2020, it broke out of that range to the upside, and more importantly, stayed above.
The larger structure (2 month chart) is that of an ascending triangle.
By sustaining above the ascending triangle, the upside has opened up in what could be a seriously bullish breakout to the 14,000 ~ 15,000 level (over time). This is more than double the current level.
Shorter term target about 7,300 ~ 7,400.
Price needs to continue above this triangle and definitely above 5430 to keep this breakout valid.